Take The Long Odds

The key … is keeping the people who hate me away from those who are still undecided.
Casey Stengel

The Super Bowl just pulled out. It was the grandest sports event in recent history. The circus is gone but there remains a strange aftertaste of something like diet sweetener for the soul. The whole experience reflected a new joyless but safe American Dream we share. Yeah, it was fun, but nothing reckless occurred. Maybe the YOUNG PEOPLE are right. Maybe change in any direction is better for our souls than our current obsession with safety from every peril.

It doesn’t matter. The Cowboy always bets the underdog. I took the Giants over the Pats, not because I follow the game, or even care. It was the principal of the thing. I hold with a sort of sinners prayer of American sports: “Grant me the serenity to accept that all sports are fixed some of the time, that some sports are fixed all of the time, and the wisdom to pick the spread.” That is why I like Obama tomorrow, on Super-Tuesday.

Obama’s campaign is a street-fighting machine that can swing on a dime. They left Carolina behind and embraced a new slogan, “Yes We Can”. (Which means “Si, Se Puede” in Spanish.) In case you have been asleep or east of Albany for the past ten months, you know this slogan was used by Caesar Chavez. It is THE rallying cry for Hispanic voters. They will swing with the wind tomorrow and bury Hillary under the stale sheaves of her own outdated campaign speeches.

Barrack is rolling in 2008. He stole the stoner vote from Ron Paul, he got an endorsement from every Kennedy sober enough to show up for the photo op and he raised $30 million. His face is the favorite of news editors nationwide. He is, to put it bluntly, the new Reagan everyone on the other team has been looking for. He brings fun back to the game.

Tomorrow he will beat Hillary just like the underdog Giants beat the over-hyped Patriots

Hillary campaigned like a deer in the headlights after South Carolina. Maybe it was the hubris of her failure to control Bill’s addiction to celebrity. Maybe she is just trapped in a bubble, run by the two least capable political activist demographics in U.S. history: Women and Gays. I any case, she was Nixon the conqueror for a while, but now she is just McGovern the crybaby. She will be lucky to get a VP slot on Obama’s ticket. The odds are changing. Old is new and new is old.

Hillary outpolled McCain by a 100,000 votes in the Florida primary and that fact should have been her public message ever since. She never mentioned it though, and now it is too late. After Carolina, Hillary just flittered around with a worn out stump speech and a bright yellow jacket.

Obama will run the Democrats’ table after Super Tuesday, but he remains a hard underdog against McCain. An absolute long shot, like Giacomo in the derby last year - a laughingstock entry at fifty–to-one.

Unless she reclaims a commanding lead by midnight on Super Tuesday, Hillary will be gone to the dustbin of POTUS campaign history. McCain is the man to beat and the place to beat him will be on his own turf, right here in Arizona. The person who can beat McCain is a woman, but she is not from New York.

Governor Napolitano is the woman you will want to watch now. Napolitano beat a Mormon Republican to become a western Democrat Governor. That trick might come in handy before the year is out. It is defintely a long shot that Janet Napolitano will second Obama's ticket. Fifty-to-one is about right. Still, it is an easy bet for The Cowboy. And free money at twice the odds.


Thanks for playing.